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Red310
4381153.4
858130.9
1025170.1
Blue106
6138127.8
1940120.7
4408123.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3882380100200300500600310106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
170.10.2
169.4169.3
Auto24.6
Teleop124.1
End22.4
red by 42.4
6138
#16
127.81.9
127.0128.9
Auto18.3
Teleop96.1
End14.0
Second
153.41.8
149.4151.2
Auto20.5
Teleop111.5
End21.1
red by 30.2
4408
#21
123.12.2
121.0123.2
Auto18.2
Teleop93.3
End9.0
Third
858
#18
130.90.5
129.2129.6
Auto18.6
Teleop102.4
End8.0
red by 10.1
1940
#24
120.71.1
121.3122.4
Auto14.0
Teleop91.5
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
85%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed