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Red203
6011111.9
5623130.1
6588116.0
Blue240
6092109.3
7256127.9
1243148.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions309312200250350400203240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5623
#13
130.10.0
133.8133.8
Auto16.8
Teleop101.1
End9.8
blue by 18.5
1243
#14
148.60.7
144.6145.3
Auto18.8
Teleop111.9
End16.8
Second
6588
#38
116.02.8
114.7117.5
Auto15.4
Teleop89.2
End7.8
blue by 11.9
7256
#25
127.92.6
125.2127.8
Auto15.0
Teleop96.3
End14.9
Third
6011
#19
111.92.2
109.2111.5
Auto14.6
Teleop84.7
End13.6
red by 2.6
6092
#34
109.32.0
109.2111.2
Auto17.4
Teleop85.0
End6.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
41%Auto Quest oddsMissed62%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed