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Red413
5843182.9
1254124.1
5152169.8
Blue130
6580106.6
6011111.9
5204123.6
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4321900100300400500600413130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.92.0
174.6176.6
Auto27.4
Teleop138.1
End17.4
red by 59.3
5204
#17
123.60.3
123.9124.2
Auto18.8
Teleop91.6
End12.6
Second
169.81.4
164.3165.7
Auto21.9
Teleop124.0
End21.4
red by 57.9
6011
#19
111.90.2
111.5111.3
Auto14.6
Teleop84.7
End13.6
Third
1254
#20
124.10.1
124.4124.5
Auto16.1
Teleop91.0
End15.0
red by 17.6
6580
#37
106.61.2
104.6105.9
Auto14.9
Teleop83.4
End10.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed