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Red388
4967135.5
858130.9
5501169.0
Blue273
6137102.0
4381153.4
6425123.6
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338290100150200250400450388273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
169.01.1
164.0165.1
Auto17.6
Teleop124.6
End28.4
red by 15.7
153.41.2
151.2152.4
Auto20.5
Teleop111.5
End21.1
Second
4967
#22
135.50.9
135.3134.4
Auto23.0
Teleop102.0
End9.6
red by 11.9
6425
#33
123.60.6
121.7122.3
Auto15.1
Teleop95.3
End13.5
Third
858
#18
130.90.4
129.6130.0
Auto18.6
Teleop102.4
End8.0
red by 28.9
6137
#36
102.01.0
99.4100.4
Auto16.0
Teleop75.2
End10.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
89%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed