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Red182
5194119.9
555997.6
858130.9
Blue286
5161126.1
1677111.5
5675158.3
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2213490100300400500600182286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
858
#18
130.90.8
130.0130.9
Auto18.6
Teleop102.4
End8.0
blue by 27.4
158.30.7
155.9156.6
Auto20.8
Teleop118.1
End19.3
Second
5194
#29
119.91.8
123.7121.9
Auto15.8
Teleop89.3
End13.7
blue by 6.2
5161
#30DQ
126.11.2
124.0125.2
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End12.3
Third
5559
#39
97.62.4
102.499.9
Auto14.7
Teleop75.9
End6.7
blue by 13.9
1677
#27
111.50.6
112.5111.8
Auto16.1
Teleop89.8
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
16%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed