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Red218
6043135.5
6092109.3
6425123.6
Blue388
5152169.8
6138127.8
4453113.0
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2563520100200300400500600218388

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6043
#28
135.50.3
133.8134.2
Auto15.3
Teleop101.2
End20.8
blue by 34.3
169.81.5
165.7167.2
Auto21.9
Teleop124.0
End21.4
Second
6425
#33
123.60.7
122.3123.0
Auto15.1
Teleop95.3
End13.5
blue by 4.2
6138
#16
127.80.5
128.0127.5
Auto18.3
Teleop96.1
End14.0
Third
6092
#34
109.31.7
112.0110.3
Auto17.4
Teleop85.0
End6.2
blue by 3.7
4453
#31
113.00.7
108.8109.6
Auto13.6
Teleop87.3
End14.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed26%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed