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Red411
4855146.9
6568108.6
4967135.5
Blue187
7256127.9
1940120.7
1254124.1
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314316200250300350400411187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4855
#23
146.91.2
139.0140.2
Auto16.5
Teleop105.1
End28.5
red by 19.0
7256
#25
127.91.7
129.0130.8
Auto15.0
Teleop96.3
End14.9
Second
4967
#22
135.50.0
134.4134.4
Auto23.0
Teleop102.0
End9.6
red by 11.4
1254
#20
124.10.4
124.5124.9
Auto16.1
Teleop91.0
End15.0
Third
6568
#32
108.60.6
108.8108.2
Auto16.6
Teleop78.1
End16.2
blue by 12.1
1940
#24
120.70.3
122.1121.7
Auto14.0
Teleop91.5
End16.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
63%Auto Quest oddsEarned14%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed