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Red172
5204123.6
6094121.2
6550129.5
Blue409
5501169.0
1025170.1
5248121.8
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2463710100200300400500600172409

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6550
#12
129.51.4
126.8128.2
Auto13.4
Teleop105.4
End13.1
blue by 40.6
170.10.3
169.2168.8
Auto24.6
Teleop124.1
End22.4
Second
5204
#17
123.60.1
124.2124.3
Auto18.8
Teleop91.6
End12.6
blue by 45.4
169.01.3
165.1166.4
Auto17.6
Teleop124.6
End28.4
Third
6094
#15
121.20.2
121.8122.1
Auto13.5
Teleop93.5
End13.5
blue by 0.6
5248
#26
121.81.4
123.4122.1
Auto15.3
Teleop97.1
End8.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed65%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed