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Red279
4381153.4
5462148.0
4408123.1
Blue408
6011111.9
1243148.6
6090175.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions340334250300350400450279408

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
153.41.0
152.4153.4
Auto20.5
Teleop111.5
End21.1
blue by 22.5
175.83.5
162.9166.4
Auto21.9
Teleop127.6
End28.4
Second
5462
#10
148.01.6
144.8146.4
Auto18.2
Teleop107.7
End24.0
blue by 0.6
1243
#14
148.61.0
145.6146.7
Auto18.8
Teleop111.9
End16.8
Third
4408
#21
123.10.5
122.4122.9
Auto18.2
Teleop93.3
End9.0
red by 11.3
6011
#19
111.90.2
111.3111.0
Auto14.6
Teleop84.7
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
70%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed