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Red165
7187148.2
6137102.0
6580106.6
Blue351
5623130.1
6119114.1
3538196.5
8%Model gave it92%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2333950100200300500600165351

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.21.8
143.7145.4
Auto18.5
Teleop107.6
End25.4
blue by 48.3
196.50.3
197.1197.4
Auto23.4
Teleop153.1
End19.2
Second
6580
#37
106.60.7
105.9106.5
Auto14.9
Teleop83.4
End10.5
blue by 23.5
5623
#13
130.10.5
132.1131.6
Auto16.8
Teleop101.1
End9.8
Third
6137
#36
102.01.0
100.4101.4
Auto16.0
Teleop75.2
End10.3
blue by 12.1
6119
#35
114.10.8
113.1113.9
Auto15.5
Teleop87.2
End13.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned51%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed