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Red316
4855146.9
6119114.1
6011111.9
Blue283
858130.9
6588116.0
5161126.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291288200250350400316283

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4855
#23
146.92.1
140.2142.3
Auto16.5
Teleop105.1
End28.5
red by 16.0
858
#18
130.90.1
130.9130.8
Auto18.6
Teleop102.4
End8.0
Second
6119
#35
114.10.2
113.9114.1
Auto15.5
Teleop87.2
End13.6
blue by 12.0
5161
#30
126.10.9
125.2126.1
Auto16.2
Teleop97.6
End12.3
Third
6011
#19
111.90.8
111.0111.9
Auto14.6
Teleop84.7
End13.6
blue by 4.1
6588
#38
116.01.5
117.4116.0
Auto15.4
Teleop89.2
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed