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Red286
1243148.6
5152169.8
3538196.5
Blue220
5843182.9
5623130.1
4381153.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions378324200300400500286220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
196.50.0
197.4197.4
Auto23.4
Teleop153.1
End19.2
red by 13.6
182.92.4
178.5180.9
Auto27.4
Teleop138.1
End17.4
Second
169.81.7
167.2168.8
Auto21.9
Teleop124.0
End21.4
red by 16.5
153.40.6
153.4154.0
Auto20.5
Teleop111.5
End21.1
Third
1243
#14
148.61.6
146.7148.3
Auto18.8
Teleop111.9
End16.8
red by 18.5
5623
#13
130.10.6
131.6131.0
Auto16.8
Teleop101.1
End9.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
86%Auto Quest oddsEarned94%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed