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Semifinal 2-22018 FIM District Gull Lake Event
Red412
5843182.9
5152169.8
7256127.9
Blue192
4855146.9
7054130.4
5204123.6
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions382264100200300500600412192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5843
#4
182.90.2
182.0→182.2
Auto27.4
Teleop138.1
End17.4
red by 36.0
4855
#23
146.90.8
145.3→146.2
Auto16.5
Teleop105.1
End28.5
Second
5152
#3
169.80.1
169.5→169.6
Auto21.9
Teleop124.0
End21.4
red by 39.4
7054
#11
130.40.5
129.4→130.0
Auto17.8
Teleop100.7
End14.5
Third
7256
#25
127.90.5
129.9→129.4
Auto15.0
Teleop96.3
End14.9
red by 4.3
5204
#17
123.60.1
123.4→123.5
Auto18.8
Teleop91.6
End12.6