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Red343
5843182.9
5152169.8
7256127.9
Blue291
4855146.9
7054130.4
5204123.6
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions388259100200300500600343291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
182.90.2
182.2182.5
Auto27.4
Teleop138.1
End17.4
red by 36.0
4855
#23
146.90.7
146.2146.9
Auto16.5
Teleop105.1
End28.5
Second
169.80.1
169.6169.7
Auto21.9
Teleop124.0
End21.4
red by 39.4
7054
#11
130.40.5
130.0130.4
Auto17.8
Teleop100.7
End14.5
Third
7256
#25
127.90.4
129.4129.0
Auto15.0
Teleop96.3
End14.9
red by 4.3
5204
#17
123.60.1
123.5123.6
Auto18.8
Teleop91.6
End12.6