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Red301
314149.0
1506167.1
5533140.1
Blue251
1684148.3
5712144.2
1243136.5
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions390297100200500600700301251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.10.9
164.7165.6
Auto20.6
Teleop127.5
End20.1
red by 18.8
1684
#21
148.30.2
147.5147.6
Auto18.2
Teleop110.1
End18.4
Second
314
#9
149.00.3
148.3148.5
Auto23.6
Teleop106.9
End20.4
red by 4.8
144.20.5
142.1142.5
Auto22.1
Teleop101.3
End22.0
Third
5533
#20
140.10.3
139.4139.7
Auto17.0
Teleop103.3
End20.8
red by 3.6
1243
#13
136.50.0
136.2136.3
Auto16.1
Teleop102.5
End18.0