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Red342
314149.0
1506167.1
5533140.1
Blue352
1684148.3
5712144.2
1243136.5
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions387297100200500600342352

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
167.10.8
165.6166.4
Auto20.6
Teleop127.5
End20.1
red by 18.8
1684
#21
148.30.1
147.6147.8
Auto18.2
Teleop110.1
End18.4
Second
314
#9
149.00.2
148.5148.8
Auto23.6
Teleop106.9
End20.4
red by 4.8
144.20.4
142.5143.0
Auto22.1
Teleop101.3
End22.0
Third
5533
#20
140.10.2
139.7139.9
Auto17.0
Teleop103.3
End20.8
red by 3.6
1243
#13
136.50.0
136.3136.3
Auto16.1
Teleop102.5
End18.0