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Red255
469135.5
5084130.4
3234122.8
Blue370
5712144.2
4380113.9
1506167.1
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297266100200400500255370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#36
135.55.1
119.8124.9
Auto16.5
Teleop95.8
End24.9
blue by 31.6
167.19.8
112.0121.8
Auto20.6
Teleop127.5
End20.1
Second
130.48.3
95.4103.7
Auto16.0
Teleop97.0
End17.2
blue by 13.8
144.29.6
101.2110.9
Auto22.1
Teleop101.3
End22.0
Third
3234
#26
122.89.3
103.7113.1
Auto15.0
Teleop92.6
End19.9
red by 9.0
4380
#30
113.96.4
89.195.5
Auto14.9
Teleop89.5
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed