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Red518
6548160.1
6631116.1
1684148.3
Blue187
5926109.4
5235126.6
217182.4
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282299100200400500518187

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.18.8
111.4120.2
Auto20.0
Teleop115.7
End29.5
blue by 22.2
217
#2
182.48.8
125.0133.7
Auto19.2
Teleop133.5
End29.9
Second
1684
#21
148.39.2
107.1116.3
Auto18.2
Teleop110.1
End18.4
red by 21.8
5235
#22
126.69.9
89.099.0
Auto15.1
Teleop98.6
End13.9
Third
6631
#24
116.112.3
80.492.7
Auto15.0
Teleop91.0
End7.6
red by 6.7
5926
#34
109.47.7
99.1106.8
Auto15.4
Teleop79.9
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed