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Red382
2619118.8
1504151.1
4003181.5
Blue186
2604105.3
3534128.7
5238131.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3102570100200400500600382186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.55.3
132.1137.3
Auto24.4
Teleop143.4
End14.4
red by 49.7
5238
#14
131.86.7
103.5110.2
Auto16.8
Teleop98.5
End16.1
Second
1504
#11
151.15.3
113.1118.5
Auto17.1
Teleop113.0
End22.8
red by 22.4
3534
#23
128.76.7
115.4122.1
Auto17.9
Teleop103.7
End5.3
Third
2619
#31
118.81.3
120.1121.4
Auto18.8
Teleop90.9
End7.8
red by 13.5
2604
#39
105.34.0
103.3107.3
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed