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Red218
5235126.6
6193137.7
6066106.6
Blue233
1506167.1
6597107.2
3234122.8
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2403400100200300400500600218233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6193
#17
137.74.4
116.3120.7
Auto17.6
Teleop103.3
End16.3
blue by 29.4
167.19.0
121.8130.8
Auto20.6
Teleop127.5
End20.1
Second
5235
#22
126.64.8
99.0103.8
Auto15.1
Teleop98.6
End13.9
red by 3.7
3234
#26
122.84.1
113.1117.2
Auto15.0
Teleop92.6
End19.9
Third
6066
#37
106.60.6
109.9110.6
Auto13.9
Teleop84.5
End11.2
blue by 0.6
6597
#35
107.25.8
107.6113.3
Auto12.5
Teleop84.1
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed