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Red323
3667133.9
6548160.1
1243136.5
Blue165
469135.5
4380113.9
5533140.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3002820100200400500600323165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.18.8
120.2129.0
Auto20.0
Teleop115.7
End29.5
red by 20.0
5533
#20
140.110.5
106.4116.9
Auto17.0
Teleop103.3
End20.8
Second
1243
#13
136.57.7
102.9110.6
Auto16.1
Teleop102.5
End18.0
red by 0.9
469
#36
135.51.3
124.9126.2
Auto16.5
Teleop95.8
End24.9
Third
3667
#16
133.94.0
106.3110.3
Auto18.8
Teleop105.3
End8.0
red by 20.1
4380
#30
113.96.6
95.5102.0
Auto14.9
Teleop89.5
End11.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed