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Red391
314149.0
1506167.1
4003181.5
Blue242
4998121.3
7144125.0
5046153.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3492320100200300400500600391242

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.54.7
137.3142.0
Auto24.4
Teleop143.4
End14.4
red by 28.1
5046
#10
153.49.1
117.7126.8
Auto19.1
Teleop116.8
End17.5
Second
167.14.3
130.8135.1
Auto20.6
Teleop127.5
End20.1
red by 42.1
7144
#18
125.07.1
97.8104.9
Auto17.0
Teleop93.7
End15.3
Third
314
#9
149.02.9
121.8124.7
Auto23.6
Teleop106.9
End20.4
red by 27.7
4998
#15
121.36.1
88.394.4
Auto16.5
Teleop92.3
End14.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
27%Auto Quest oddsEarned15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed