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Red5
6548160.1
6635105.4
6597107.2
Blue251
5238131.8
2619118.8
5084130.4
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31023301002004005006005251

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
160.16.2
129.0135.2
Auto20.0
Teleop115.7
End29.5
red by 28.3
5238
#14
131.83.2
110.2113.4
Auto16.8
Teleop98.5
End16.1
Second
6597
#35
107.22.1
113.3115.5
Auto12.5
Teleop84.1
End11.0
blue by 23.2
130.41.3
107.2108.5
Auto16.0
Teleop97.0
End17.2
Third
6635
#28
105.46.4
99.0105.4
Auto11.5
Teleop86.7
End4.7
blue by 13.3
2619
#31
118.82.0
121.4123.4
Auto18.8
Teleop90.9
End7.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
21%Auto Quest oddsMissed22%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed