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Red408
6531106.5
4003181.5
469135.5
Blue348
1684148.3
5926109.4
3234122.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324259100200300400500408348

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.55.1
147.2152.3
Auto24.4
Teleop143.4
End14.4
red by 33.2
1684
#21
148.34.6
136.2140.8
Auto18.2
Teleop110.1
End18.4
Second
469
#36
135.50.9
125.7126.6
Auto16.5
Teleop95.8
End24.9
red by 12.7
3234
#26
122.80.1
117.3117.4
Auto15.0
Teleop92.6
End19.9
Third
6531
#29
106.50.5
107.6108.1
Auto13.4
Teleop86.7
End3.9
blue by 2.9
5926
#34
109.40.5
111.7112.2
Auto15.4
Teleop79.9
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed