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Red51
695476.8
6631116.1
6066106.6
Blue376
1506167.1
5046153.4
6635105.4
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202345010030040050060051376

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6631
#24
116.13.0
120.0123.0
Auto15.0
Teleop91.0
End7.6
blue by 51.0
167.13.9
140.0143.9
Auto20.6
Teleop127.5
End20.1
Second
6066
#37
106.60.5
111.8112.3
Auto13.9
Teleop84.5
End11.2
blue by 46.8
5046
#10
153.43.1
135.6138.7
Auto19.1
Teleop116.8
End17.5
Third
6954
#32
76.81.9
96.194.1
Auto14.4
Teleop62.7
End0.5
blue by 28.6
6635
#28
105.41.3
105.4104.2
Auto11.5
Teleop86.7
End4.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
11%Auto Quest oddsMissed38%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed