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Red413
3667133.9
5774120.5
5084130.4
Blue165
710197.8
6597107.2
6193137.7
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions295246100150200350400450413165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3667
#16
133.92.8
117.3120.0
Auto18.8
Teleop105.3
End8.0
blue by 3.8
6193
#17
137.73.8
128.5132.2
Auto17.6
Teleop103.3
End16.3
Second
130.41.8
110.1111.9
Auto16.0
Teleop97.0
End17.2
red by 23.2
6597
#35
107.20.7
112.5113.2
Auto12.5
Teleop84.1
End11.0
Third
5774
#25
120.55.6
113.0118.6
Auto15.1
Teleop89.5
End16.0
red by 22.7
7101
#38
97.81.3
99.0100.3
Auto14.5
Teleop77.7
End10.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed