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Red272
2604105.3
3234122.8
6531106.5
Blue240
6073114.6
5046153.4
6548160.1
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2713130100200400500600272240

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3234
#26
122.814.4
89.3103.7
Auto15.0
Teleop92.6
End19.9
blue by 37.3
160.113.5
97.9111.4
Auto20.0
Teleop115.7
End29.5
Second
6531
#29
106.516.5
70.486.9
Auto13.4
Teleop86.7
End3.9
blue by 47.0
5046
#10
153.413.8
95.0108.8
Auto19.1
Teleop116.8
End17.5
Third
2604
#39
105.315.7
77.493.1
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End8.4
blue by 9.3
6073
#33
114.615.9
75.791.6
Auto14.1
Teleop81.9
End24.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed