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Red161
1243136.5
469135.5
5774120.5
Blue218
5238131.8
4003181.5
5926109.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2853130100200400500600161218

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1243
#13
136.515.4
80.495.7
Auto16.1
Teleop102.5
End18.0
blue by 45.1
181.511.7
114.8126.5
Auto24.4
Teleop143.4
End14.4
Second
469
#36
135.512.5
107.4119.8
Auto16.5
Teleop95.8
End24.9
red by 3.7
5238
#14
131.815.4
80.295.5
Auto16.8
Teleop98.5
End16.1
Third
5774
#25
120.516.5
69.886.3
Auto15.1
Teleop89.5
End16.0
red by 11.1
5926
#34
109.414.9
84.299.1
Auto15.4
Teleop79.9
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
34%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed