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Red281
6635105.4
1684148.3
3667133.9
Blue300
6066106.6
3707164.4
1243136.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3012940100200400500600281300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1684
#21
148.31.0
144.8145.8
Auto18.2
Teleop110.1
End18.4
blue by 16.1
164.45.1
142.4147.6
Auto25.2
Teleop112.4
End28.9
Second
3667
#16
133.91.4
128.8130.2
Auto18.8
Teleop105.3
End8.0
blue by 2.5
1243
#13
136.51.1
131.8132.9
Auto16.1
Teleop102.5
End18.0
Third
6635
#28
105.40.5
107.9108.3
Auto11.5
Teleop86.7
End4.7
blue by 1.2
6066
#37
106.60.9
110.3109.4
Auto13.9
Teleop84.5
End11.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed