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Red388
6085130.5
494186.9
7144125.0
Blue199
3534128.7
6548160.1
3234122.8
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions324284100200400500388199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#3
186.91.6
172.9174.5
Auto22.2
Teleop142.1
End24.0
red by 26.7
160.13.1
150.0153.1
Auto20.0
Teleop115.7
End29.5
Second
6085
#19
130.51.2
124.7125.9
Auto14.7
Teleop101.2
End14.5
red by 1.8
3534
#23
128.70.2
129.8130.0
Auto17.9
Teleop103.7
End5.3
Third
7144
#18
125.01.8
116.0117.9
Auto17.0
Teleop93.7
End15.3
red by 2.2
3234
#26
122.80.6
121.5122.1
Auto15.0
Teleop92.6
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
51%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed