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Red210
5235126.6
6597107.2
314149.0
Blue286
3534128.7
3667133.9
6531106.5
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions289286150200250350400450210286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
314
#9
149.05.6
116.2121.8
Auto23.6
Teleop106.9
End20.4
red by 15.1
3667
#16
133.915.3
81.296.5
Auto18.8
Teleop105.3
End8.0
Second
5235
#22
126.616.2
72.889.0
Auto15.1
Teleop98.6
End13.9
blue by 2.1
3534
#23
128.714.0
92.4106.5
Auto17.9
Teleop103.7
End5.3
Third
6597
#35
107.29.9
97.6107.6
Auto12.5
Teleop84.1
End11.0
red by 0.7
6531
#29
106.510.7
86.997.6
Auto13.4
Teleop86.7
End3.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
38%Auto Quest oddsMissed30%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed