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Red422
5046153.4
1243136.5
5533140.1
Blue159
3707164.4
6073114.6
2604105.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions291287200250350400422159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5046
#10
153.49.0
108.8117.7
Auto19.1
Teleop116.8
End17.5
blue by 11.0
164.410.8
100.2111.0
Auto25.2
Teleop112.4
End28.9
Second
5533
#20
140.111.2
95.1106.4
Auto17.0
Teleop103.3
End20.8
red by 25.5
6073
#33
114.610.4
91.6102.0
Auto14.1
Teleop81.9
End24.6
Third
1243
#13
136.57.1
95.7102.9
Auto16.1
Teleop102.5
End18.0
red by 31.2
2604
#39
105.310.2
93.1103.3
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End8.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
25%Auto Quest oddsMissed23%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed