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Red295
1504151.1
5774120.5
6635105.4
Blue204
5926109.4
469135.5
6085130.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267269200250300350295204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1504
#11
151.10.6
150.0150.6
Auto17.1
Teleop113.0
End22.8
red by 15.6
469
#36
135.51.0
133.3134.2
Auto16.5
Teleop95.8
End24.9
Second
5774
#25
120.50.6
121.0120.5
Auto15.1
Teleop89.5
End16.0
blue by 10.0
6085
#19
130.51.1
129.2130.3
Auto14.7
Teleop101.2
End14.5
Third
6635
#28
105.41.6
107.0105.4
Auto11.5
Teleop86.7
End4.7
blue by 4.0
5926
#34
109.40.2
109.6109.4
Auto15.4
Teleop79.9
End13.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
14%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed