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Red215
3667133.9
6193137.7
7144125.0
Blue431
494186.9
7192107.8
5046153.4
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions267368100200300400500600215431

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6193
#17
137.70.9
135.9136.8
Auto17.6
Teleop103.3
End16.3
blue by 49.2
494
#3
186.92.1
180.2182.4
Auto22.2
Teleop142.1
End24.0
Second
3667
#16
133.91.2
132.5133.7
Auto18.8
Teleop105.3
End8.0
blue by 19.5
5046
#10
153.40.8
151.2152.1
Auto19.1
Teleop116.8
End17.5
Third
7144
#18
125.02.3
120.5122.8
Auto17.0
Teleop93.7
End15.3
red by 17.3
7192
#27
107.80.4
107.3107.8
Auto16.3
Teleop81.1
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned60%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed