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Red334
494186.9
4003181.5
7144125.0
Blue279
3534128.7
6548160.1
469135.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405259100200300500600700334279

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
494
#3
186.90.7
184.7185.4
Auto22.2
Teleop142.1
End24.0
red by 26.7
160.10.6
159.6160.1
Auto20.0
Teleop115.7
End29.5
Second
181.50.8
179.1179.8
Auto24.4
Teleop143.4
End14.4
red by 46.0
469
#36
135.50.3
135.2135.5
Auto16.5
Teleop95.8
End24.9
Third
7144
#18
125.00.4
124.0124.4
Auto17.0
Teleop93.7
End15.3
blue by 3.7
3534
#23
128.70.0
128.7128.7
Auto17.9
Teleop103.7
End5.3