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Red334
5046153.4
5084130.4
5235126.6
Blue410
3534128.7
6548160.1
469135.5
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3063160100200400500600334410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5046
#10
153.40.5
152.1152.5
Auto19.1
Teleop116.8
End17.5
blue by 6.7
160.10.5
157.5157.9
Auto20.0
Teleop115.7
End29.5
Second
130.40.2
129.8130.0
Auto16.0
Teleop97.0
End17.2
blue by 5.1
469
#36
135.50.2
134.2134.4
Auto16.5
Teleop95.8
End24.9
Third
5235
#22
126.60.5
125.1125.6
Auto15.1
Teleop98.6
End13.9
blue by 2.1
3534
#23
128.70.2
129.0128.8
Auto17.9
Teleop103.7
End5.3