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Red434
3707164.4
217182.4
6193137.7
Blue276
1684148.3
5712144.2
1243136.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413302200500600700434276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
217
#2
182.40.8
178.9179.7
Auto19.2
Teleop133.5
End29.9
red by 34.0
1684
#21
148.30.2
147.9148.1
Auto18.2
Teleop110.1
End18.4
Second
164.40.9
160.5161.4
Auto25.2
Teleop112.4
End28.9
red by 20.2
144.20.4
143.3143.8
Auto22.1
Teleop101.3
End22.0
Third
6193
#17
137.70.1
137.0137.1
Auto17.6
Teleop103.3
End16.3
red by 1.2
1243
#13
136.50.1
136.3136.4
Auto16.1
Teleop102.5
End18.0