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Red448
1918217.4
2767228.2
7256122.0
Blue276
6090193.9
2771181.9
7234128.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions427344100200300500600700448276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228.20.4
227.8228.2
Auto27.9
Teleop156.9
End44.5
red by 34.3
193.90.5
193.4193.9
Auto24.1
Teleop140.6
End30.3
Second
217.40.2
217.2217.4
Auto23.6
Teleop157.8
End37.3
red by 35.5
181.90.8
181.1181.9
Auto22.1
Teleop130.1
End33.9
Third
7256
#22
122.00.1
121.9122.0
Auto15.0
Teleop90.9
End15.0
blue by 6.8
7234
#23
128.80.4
128.4128.8
Auto18.2
Teleop93.6
End17.2