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Red400
1918217.4
2767228.2
7256122.0
Blue336
6090193.9
2771181.9
7234128.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions426342100200300500600700400336

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228.20.4
227.4227.8
Auto27.9
Teleop156.9
End44.5
red by 34.3
193.90.6
192.8193.4
Auto24.1
Teleop140.6
End30.3
Second
217.40.3
216.9217.2
Auto23.6
Teleop157.8
End37.3
red by 35.5
181.90.9
180.2181.1
Auto22.1
Teleop130.1
End33.9
Third
7256
#22
122.00.1
121.9121.9
Auto15.0
Teleop90.9
End15.0
blue by 6.8
7234
#23
128.80.4
128.0128.4
Auto18.2
Teleop93.6
End17.2