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Red285
2474186.5
5567171.9
904125.9
Blue291
4384134.5
4409152.1
288157.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383314100200500600285291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
186.50.3
186.8186.5
Auto27.3
Teleop141.4
End14.4
red by 29.1
288
#36
157.40.3
158.4158.0
Auto18.1
Teleop120.7
End19.8
Second
171.90.4
171.5171.9
Auto21.2
Teleop123.2
End29.1
red by 19.8
4409
#10
152.10.2
151.6151.8
Auto18.0
Teleop117.0
End17.5
Third
904
#29
125.90.2
125.7125.9
Auto17.9
Teleop91.4
End18.0
blue by 8.6
4384
#35
134.50.3
133.6134.0
Auto17.2
Teleop111.0
End8.4