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Red408
5194113.7
2771181.9
6002114.2
Blue273
21696.9
7234128.8
244131.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions369220100300500600700408273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.90.6
164.5165.0
Auto22.1
Teleop130.1
End33.9
red by 50.5
244
#15
131.40.8
130.5131.2
Auto16.9
Teleop102.0
End12.6
Second
6002
#38
114.28.9
104.2113.1
Auto17.5
Teleop88.7
End5.8
blue by 14.7
7234
#23
128.80.6
115.8116.4
Auto18.2
Teleop93.6
End17.2
Third
5194
#26
113.71.1
118.8117.7
Auto16.5
Teleop81.5
End18.2
red by 16.8
216
#16
96.91.9
90.688.8
Auto12.0
Teleop78.1
End11.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed