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Red221
4384134.5
5256122.4
4967142.3
Blue414
858138.8
4004164.1
5069120.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314293100200400500221414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
142.30.0
135.1135.1
Auto26.0
Teleop101.0
End19.7
blue by 21.8
164.11.9
138.7140.5
Auto18.6
Teleop126.2
End21.6
Second
4384
#35
134.51.4
146.3145.0
Auto17.2
Teleop111.0
End8.4
blue by 4.2
858
#17
138.81.0
130.9131.8
Auto17.4
Teleop109.6
End14.7
Third
5256
#32
122.411.2
99.0110.2
Auto15.5
Teleop94.7
End10.1
red by 2.2
5069
#33
120.21.9
124.8122.9
Auto16.9
Teleop87.9
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsMissed71%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed