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Red174
5069120.2
4482106.3
5473108.1
Blue346
2767228.2
5056123.8
904125.9
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2064020100300500600174346

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5069
#33
120.20.4
122.9122.5
Auto16.9
Teleop87.9
End15.4
blue by 108.0
228.21.6
208.2209.8
Auto27.9
Teleop156.9
End44.5
Second
5473
#31
108.10.8
103.7104.4
Auto18.4
Teleop83.0
End6.5
blue by 17.8
904
#29
125.90.3
129.5129.2
Auto17.9
Teleop91.4
End18.0
Third
4482
#25
106.37.7
103.1110.8
Auto15.4
Teleop88.3
End2.9
blue by 17.5
5056
#14
123.80.2
113.5113.7
Auto18.3
Teleop88.9
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
71%Auto Quest oddsMissed70%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed42%Face the Boss oddsMissed