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Red318
244131.4
6114108.0
6090193.9
Blue244
5256122.4
4004164.1
7289129.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3343080100200400500600700318244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
193.91.3
179.7181.0
Auto24.1
Teleop140.6
End30.3
red by 29.8
164.12.7
140.5143.2
Auto18.6
Teleop126.2
End21.6
Second
244
#15
131.40.9
131.2132.2
Auto16.9
Teleop102.0
End12.6
red by 2.4
7289
#20
129.00.6
120.9121.5
Auto17.6
Teleop91.5
End20.6
Third
6114
#37
108.01.3
116.4115.1
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End12.2
blue by 14.4
5256
#32
122.45.1
110.2115.4
Auto15.5
Teleop94.7
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
50%Auto Quest oddsEarned33%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed