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Red353
5473108.1
21696.9
2771181.9
Blue246
6114108.0
858138.8
7289129.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2752990100200400500600353246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
181.91.0
165.9166.9
Auto22.1
Teleop130.1
End33.9
red by 43.1
858
#17
138.81.3
133.7135.1
Auto17.4
Teleop109.6
End14.7
Second
5473
#31
108.10.5
104.4104.9
Auto18.4
Teleop83.0
End6.5
blue by 20.9
7289
#20
129.00.5
121.5122.0
Auto17.6
Teleop91.5
End20.6
Third
216
#16
96.91.3
87.586.2
Auto12.0
Teleop78.1
End11.0
blue by 11.1
6114
#37
108.01.0
115.1114.1
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsEarned28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed