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Red169
5069120.2
3234128.9
5470120.6
Blue226
345895.3
7256122.0
5567171.9
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303300180220240260280320169226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3234
#13
128.90.9
126.9127.8
Auto15.3
Teleop98.7
End14.4
blue by 43.0
171.90.1
163.7163.6
Auto21.2
Teleop123.2
End29.1
Second
5470
#24
120.61.3
121.0122.3
Auto16.7
Teleop88.8
End10.7
blue by 1.4
7256
#22
122.01.0
124.8123.8
Auto15.0
Teleop90.9
End15.0
Third
5069
#33
120.20.4
122.5122.1
Auto16.9
Teleop87.9
End15.4
red by 24.9
3458
#30
95.31.5
104.6103.1
Auto15.1
Teleop72.1
End7.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
62%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed