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Red463
4855165.1
4384134.5
21696.9
Blue200
5470120.6
4967142.3
6114108.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3122810100200400500600463200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4855
#21
165.10.9
154.8155.8
Auto18.6
Teleop119.2
End26.8
red by 22.8
142.31.1
133.1134.2
Auto26.0
Teleop101.0
End19.7
Second
4384
#35
134.50.5
136.0135.5
Auto17.2
Teleop111.0
End8.4
red by 13.9
5470
#24
120.61.2
122.4121.1
Auto16.7
Teleop88.8
End10.7
Third
216
#16
96.91.3
86.487.6
Auto12.0
Teleop78.1
End11.0
blue by 11.1
6114
#37
108.01.0
111.1110.1
Auto14.9
Teleop82.3
End12.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsMissed53%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed