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Red541
345895.3
2767228.2
4409152.1
Blue170
566496.1
904125.9
6065139.0
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4052150100300500600700541170

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
228.21.7
214.2215.9
Auto27.9
Teleop156.9
End44.5
red by 89.1
6065
#11
139.00.9
134.9135.8
Auto19.7
Teleop103.2
End15.1
Second
4409
#10
152.10.1
147.6147.5
Auto18.0
Teleop117.0
End17.5
red by 26.2
904
#29
125.91.1
128.1127.0
Auto17.9
Teleop91.4
End18.0
Third
3458
#30
95.32.3
98.996.6
Auto15.1
Teleop72.1
End7.0
blue by 0.8
5664
#28
96.10.3
94.394.7
Auto17.8
Teleop69.0
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
69%Auto Quest oddsEarned69%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
43%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed