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Red199
4004164.1
5316110.3
5194113.7
Blue498
5069120.2
2767228.2
4325165.0
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions231444100300400500600700199498

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.12.5
153.3155.7
Auto18.6
Teleop126.2
End21.6
blue by 64.1
228.22.4
215.9218.3
Auto27.9
Teleop156.9
End44.5
Second
5194
#26
113.70.1
114.3114.2
Auto16.5
Teleop81.5
End18.2
blue by 51.3
165.01.3
156.2157.5
Auto16.7
Teleop125.2
End26.1
Third
5316
#39
110.30.5
112.1111.6
Auto15.7
Teleop81.4
End13.6
blue by 9.8
5069
#33
120.20.9
118.4117.6
Auto16.9
Teleop87.9
End15.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
60%Auto Quest oddsMissed78%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed49%Face the Boss oddsEarned