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Red304
5256122.4
904125.9
4855165.1
Blue124
6002114.2
3234128.9
4384134.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3242920100200400500600700800304124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4855
#21
165.11.5
155.8157.3
Auto18.6
Teleop119.2
End26.8
red by 30.5
4384
#35
134.50.3
135.5135.8
Auto17.2
Teleop111.0
End8.4
Second
904
#29
125.91.0
127.0126.1
Auto17.9
Teleop91.4
End18.0
blue by 3.0
3234
#13
128.90.1
127.6127.7
Auto15.3
Teleop98.7
End14.4
Third
5256
#32
122.40.7
120.9121.5
Auto15.5
Teleop94.7
End10.1
red by 8.2
6002
#38
114.23.3
127.8124.5
Auto17.5
Teleop88.7
End5.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
35%Auto Quest oddsMissed59%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed